Tract-level home-value forecasts

Enter an address. See its 5-year home-value forecast.

Verus-AI covers roughly 85,000 U.S. census tracts. Each forecast carries a PASS, WATCH, or TRAP verdict from a five-year home-value model built on Census and FCC data. Read the tract you are buying into before you commit capital.

No forecast

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  • ~85,000 U.S. census tracts
  • Five-year horizon
  • Built on U.S. Census (ACS), FCC
  • Thresholds published: PASS ≥ 8%, WATCH ≥ 0%, TRAP < 0%
  • Tract-level, not a single-home Zestimate

Read the analyzed-to-predicted line

Every forecast is one line with two halves. The solid green segment is the tract’s analyzed history — the median home value the Census actually recorded, year by year. The dashed gold segment is the model’s five-year projection forward.

The large number is the distance between where the solid line ends and where the dashed line ends: the projected five-year change in the tract’s median home value. It is a five-year total, not an annual rate, and it describes the tract — not the exact house at the address.

There is no confidence band. The forecast series does not publish one, so rather than draw a band we cannot support, the honest bounds are the published thresholds and the named sources.

Analyzed (Census) Predicted (5-yr)

PASS, WATCH, or TRAP

One screen from the forecast, on thresholds we publish rather than hide.

PASS
Projected 5-yr change ≥ 8%

The tract clears the strong-appreciation bar. Worth a closer read on the specific property.

WATCH
Projected 5-yr change 0% to 8%

Flat to moderate. The tract is not working against you, but it is not carrying you either.

TRAP
Projected 5-yr change < 0%

The model projects the tract median to decline. Price the downside before you commit capital.

The tract map is open without an account.

Search an address and read the tracts around it, shaded by rank on median home value, household income, per capita income or median gross rent, with the five-year projection on the same map.

Explore the tract map

How the forecast is built

01

Public inputs, named

U.S. Census (ACS) home value, income, rent, education, and demographic series; FCC data. Every input is a source we can point to.

02

Tract-level model

A machine-learning model trained on more than a decade of tract history projects the median home value five years forward, one census tract at a time.

03

Published thresholds

The projected five-year change is scored against fixed, published bars — PASS at 8%, WATCH at 0%, TRAP below — so the same number always reads the same way.

What the full analysis adds

The tract verdict is the free read. A subscription adds the written report and ongoing coverage of what you own.

Investment report

A PDF that reads the tract in full: value and forecast, employment and schools, and a written area analysis.

Portfolio brief

Portfolio Brief

Save the properties you own and get a monthly research note on each — value moves, forecast shifts, and what changed at the tract.

One mispriced tract costs more than a year of Verus-AI. Read the tract’s verdict before you commit the capital.

Priced by capacity

Annual saves about a third versus monthly — 35% on Starter, 32% on Pro and Enterprise.

Starter
For a first purchase or a single market
$149/yr
about $12/mo, billed annually — or $19/mo month to month
  • 8 investment reports / mo
  • 6 property lookups / mo
  • 10 assistant messages / mo
  • All ~85,000 tracts, every map
Enterprise
For a desk running a book of properties
$799/yr
about $67/mo, billed annually — or $99/mo month to month
  • 100 investment reports / mo
  • 100 property lookups / mo
  • 500 assistant messages / mo
  • Unlimited portfolio tracking
  • Hands-on onboarding

An assistant message is one question put to the Verus-AI chat. It answers on what the data covers and can search the web; inside a property view it also reads that property’s comps and your calculator inputs.

Secure checkout via Stripe. Change or cancel your plan anytime. Starter includes a 7-day free trial for new subscribers; Pro and Enterprise bill on checkout. Refunds are handled case by case within 14 days of purchase. Subject to terms of service.

What the model does, and does not, claim

What does the five-year forecast actually predict?

The projected five-year change in the tract’s median home value — the whole census tract, not one specific house. It is a five-year total, not an annual rate.

What the model does and does not claim

It estimates direction and magnitude of tract-level home value from public data, and assigns a PASS, WATCH, or TRAP against published thresholds. It does not appraise an individual property, price its condition or renovations, or guarantee a return. Because the model does not produce a statistical confidence interval, we publish the thresholds and the data sources instead of showing a fabricated band.

Where does the data come from?

U.S. Census (ACS) demographic and economic series and FCC data — all named on every forecast.

How current is the forecast?

Analyzed history runs through the latest published ACS year and the model projects five years forward. Tracts that the Census redrew in 2020 without enough new history are marked as not yet in the five-year model rather than shown with a guessed number.

Is this investment advice?

No. Verus-AI is an analytics tool for informational purposes. Past performance does not guarantee future results; consult qualified professionals before committing capital.

Check the verdict on the tract you are buying into.